Wednesday, August 28, 2013

UPS Cuts EPS Outlook, Price Falls - Analyst Blog

Leading freight carrier, United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) has slashed its earnings forecast for 2013 to $4.65 to $4.85 per share from $4.80 to $5.06. The current projection represents a year-over-year growth of 3% to 7%, lower than the previously estimated 6% to 12%. The company in its press release stated that the present macroeconomic conditions could hamper its growth and quarterly performance going forward.

The company's latest revelation has led to a negative market sentiment, pushing stock prices 5.83% down on Friday trading over the previous day's adjusted closing. UPS now expects second quarter earnings per share of $1.13, below the earnings of $1.15 in the corresponding quarter last year but up from $1.04 earned in the preceding quarter.

Previously, the company had already hinted that earnings per share growth would remain at low single digits for the second quarter due to operating margin pressure. Despite several profitability measures, the company is struggling to cope with the changing market scenario that resulted in customers shifting from premium products as they seek more cost effective logistic solutions.

Over the past year, the company has been registering lower demand from international business lanes, in particular from Asian routes. As a result, the company has been seeking several capacity adjustment measures to maintain parity with the changing demand environment. According to reports, UPS had undertaken restructuring worth $1.7 billion last year to adjust with the overcapacity issues in the freight forwarding market.

In Feb, UPS reported of expanding its Less Than Container Load (LCL) services to additional networks in Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and South America, bringing its network to 17,000 direct LCL lanes serving 116 countries. The company's expanding presence in the LCL space implies a shift from its airfreight business. This would ultimately benefit the cost structure and serve as an attractive opportunity to add ! customers in the present economy. Further, not only will UPS' ocean business will get a boost from this move, shippers too can gain from cost savings against the expensive airfreight.

In addition to these macroeconomic factors, UPS also remains challenged by pension headwinds that are expected to occur this year as the company is set to offer severance package to employees who are accepting voluntary buyouts. Further, prevailing lower interest rates on funds are also hurting the company by increasing its pension expenses. In January, the company estimated pension cost to increase by $225 million in 2013.

Apart from UPS, close rival FedEx Corp. (FDX) has also taken similar steps to ensure business viability in a poor market scenario. The company is also taking initiatives to reduce Trans-Pacific capacity since Apr. FedEx is aggressively working on plans to curb over-capacity from Asian lanes to adjust traffic in lower yield networks and in this context, it expects to remove some of its networks between the U.S. and Asia in July.

FedEx has also set a 2016 end target of $1.6 billion in incremental profit at FedEx Express and 2020 target of 30% improvement in fuel efficiency of its fleet. Other than gaining $200 million in cost savings from the Voluntary regiment plan, the company expects these profits to arise from infrastructural developments like aircraft modernization, aircraft maintenance processes, fuel consumption, increased productivity in pick-up and delivery services. Other than the two giants – UPS and FedEx – we believe the current market conditions do not bode well for other industry players and may affect the upcoming results of Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) and Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings Inc. (AAWW)

UPS currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

Is Cummins Building For Bigger Things?

Modeling and assigning a fair value to Cummins (NYSE:CMI) is not a particularly easy task. It's hard to find a better company in the transportation components sector, not to mention the wider industrial sector as a whole. Through all of the cyclical ups and downs of the commercial vehicle market(s), Cummins almost always generates double-digit returns on invested capital and has managed to stay in the green with free cash flow.

So quality and ability to execute are not problems. What is the problem is estimating fair future growth rates. It seems hard to imagine that Cummins can match its trailing revenue growth rate of 12%, but countries like Brazil, China, and India are still seeing trucking operators building their fleets, while the move to natural gas could fuel demand not only for LNG/CNG engines, but also compression facilities and more equipment for the energy sector. Although I think the Street may be a little too optimistic on the free cash flow margin leverage Cummins can deliver, I'm increasingly thinking this is a good stock to own for the longer term.

Making The Best Of A Tough Environment
The global commercial vehicle market is still seeing some pretty stiff headwinds, but Cummins nevertheless managed to pull some top-line growth out of this quarter. With that, Cummins beat on the top line, more or less held the line on margins, and delivered a solid operating beat for the quarter.

SEE: Investors Already Thinking Recovery For Cummins

Revenue rose 2% as reported (and 15% on a sequential basis). The company's largest business segment, engines, saw revenue decline 7% as a 3% improvement in volume was offset by a 10% decline in price (largely due to mix). Vehicle engine revenue rose 5%, while industrial and stationary declined 11% and 37%, respectively. Power generation was down 11%, while components rose 8% and distribution revenue rose 20%.

Despite the higher volume in the engine business, gross margin declined more than one and a half points due in large part to a mix shift to smaller, lower horsepower engines. Cummins kept a lid on SG&A and R&D spending, though, and limited the operating income decline to 5% (and a one-point decline in operating margin).

SEE: A Look At Corporate Profit Margins

Navistar Helping, But The Big Recovery Isn't Coming Right Away
On the call, management wasn't terribly bullish. The North American Class 8 truck market is still pretty weak, though the inclusion of revenue from Navistar (NYSE:NAV) is helping. Likewise, the North American energy market may have bottomed, but it's not reversing quickly (and Cummins generates a meaningful amount of revenue from the engines that power frac units). Outside the U.S., management sees conditions in China as flat, India as worsening, and only Latin America showing many signs of improvement.

What Will Natural Gas Do For The Business?
One of the bigger long-term uncertainties is the impact that natural gas will have on Cummins' business. I'm not talking just about the companies joint venture with Westport (Nasdaq:WPRT) for natural-gas powered engines. Although I could see this JV gaining share from existing non-Cummins diesel engines (including Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) and Daimler's Detroit Diesel), I don't necessarily see that as the major delta.

What could change is the demand for equipment that will feed natural gas engines. If natural gas-fueled engines catch on, there will be a need for more compression systems across the country, and Cummins products can power those. Likewise, more natural gas demand will likely lead to more natural gas exploration/production, and more demand for Cummins' products in the field.

The Bottom Line
Between excellent R&D capabilities in diesel engines, growing emphasis on emissions control and fuel efficiency, and potential in non-vehicle markets, it's not hard to be bullish about the prospects for Cummins. The key question is just how much bullishness is reasonable.

Generally speaking, growth slows as companies get larger. To that end, I don't believe Cummins can reproduce the 12% annual revenue growth of the past decade. Likewise, given that Cummins hasn't exceeded an 8% free cash flow margin in recent (10 years) history, I think analysts projecting double-digit future free cash flow margins are getting a little ahead of themselves.

Still, if there's an industrial company that can outperform, Cummins (with its strong international exposure and North American market share) is the one I'd pick. I've increased my long-term base case revenue growth estimate to 6%, and that points to a fair value of almost $135 today. Go to 8.5% revenue growth and the target jumps to to $158, while a target of 10% growth leads to a $173 target.

I would not invest in Cummins on the basis of thinking that 10% annual revenue growth and 18% annual free cash flow growth is likely. Likewise, I wouldn't rule out the risk that the big burst of demand in markets like China won't be repeated. Still, on a risk/reward basis, I think Cummins' past performance suggests that this company is a good name to pick if you believe that global heavy vehicle demand still has worthwhile growth potential over the next decade.

Disclosure – At the time of writing, the author had no positions in any companies mentioned.

Monday, August 26, 2013

Hot Heal Care Stocks To Invest In Right Now

If you like rollercoasters, you've probably loved the past month on the stock market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) has climbed to a new peak, fallen off a cliff, gone round and round, and finished just about where it started.

^DJI data by YCharts.

Today the ride continued, with the Dow and S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC  ) rising in early trading, dropping sharply around noon, and finally climbing back to small gains. As of 3:25 EDT the Dow has gained 0.18%, while the S&P 500 is up 0.43%.

Investors are already speculating about tomorrow's unemployment numbers from the Department of Labor. Economists expect 164,000 jobs to have been added in May, pegging the unemployment rate at 7.5% -- decent but not spectacular numbers.�

Hot Heal Care Stocks To Invest In Right Now: RTS NetWorks Grp(RTN.L)

The Restaurant Group plc operates restaurants, cafes, and pub restaurants primarily in the United Kingdom. It operates 389 restaurants and pub restaurants under the Frankie & Benny?s, Chiquito, and Garfunkel?s brand names in airports. The company is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Hot Heal Care Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Chl(CHL.MI)

CHL S.p.A. operates as an e-commerce company in Italy. It offers various computer, audio-video, photography, telephony products, software books, and fitness products. The company, through its subsidiary, FRAEL S.p.A., also engages in the assembly and sale of personal computers, and technological hardware and software components. CHL S.p.A. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Florence, Italy.

Hot Cheap Stocks To Own For 2014: Eso Uranium Corp.(ESO.V)

ESO Uranium Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Canada and the United States. It primarily explores for gold, lithium, borax, precious metals, and uranium properties. The company?s properties include the Mikwam gold property that comprises approximately 2,400 acres located in north eastern Ontario, Canada; Donna gold property encompassing approximately 5,370 acres located in British Columbia, Canada; and Athabasca Basin properties located in Northern Saskatchewan, Canada. Its properties also include the Marietta and Teels Marsh Properties totaling approximately 10,500 acres located in West Central Nevada, the United States. ESO Uranium Corp. is based in Vancouver, Canada.

Sunday, August 25, 2013

When Will Disney Build a Star Wars Land?

Model of an X-wing starfighter outside the Star Tours ride at Eurodisney.Alamy In the end, despite much anticipation, Disney (DIS) didn't use much of the Force, Luke. Disney hosted its biennial D23 fan club expo in Anaheim over the weekend, and while Star Wars promised to be a major part of the festivities, the family entertainment giant was surprisingly tight-lipped about the iconic sci-fi franchise. There was little to say by Disney executives on the seventh installment of the movie series that J.J. Abrams will be bringing to a multiplex near you in two years. As for Star Wars-themed attractions, Disney was equally cryptic on any new rides, shows, and attractions that it may open to cash in on the global popularity of its Star Wars characters. There was a Star Wars display hinting at potential attractions, but good luck deciphering the crates on display with lettering indicating that they contain everything from assorted lightsabers to bantha milk. One crate appeared to have housed R2-D2 until he carved his way out. Is the suggestion here that we'll be getting an interactive ride where guests can swing about virtual sabers for points, step into the Mos Eisley cantina or some other elaborate theme restaurant to order the creamy blue bantha beverage, and go on an R2-D2's Great Escape thrill ride? We just don't know, yet. Clearly something is coming. The crates were addressed to Disney's imagineering department, where new attractions are developed. Fans will simply have to wait. What an Amazing Synergy You've Discovered When Disney stunned investors by revealing that it would be spending more than $4 billion to acquire George Lucas' Lucasfilm, the chatter immediately turned to what it could do with the potent Star Wars franchise that seemed to be languishing under its creator. There were no rational fears that Disney would dumb down the defining science fiction property. Mickey Mouse and Pluto weren't going to be cast as Han Solo and Chewbacca, respectively. Minnie Mouse wasn't going to channel Princess Leia. Donald Duck wouldn't be voicing Darth Vader. Disney spent billions buying Pixar and Marvel before Lucasfilm, and it has been smart enough to stay out of the way of the creative process that made those companies tick. But when "Star Wars: Episode 7" hits the silver screen in two years, it's a safe bet that Disney will back the release with Disney Store consumer products. It wouldn't be a shock to see ABC or Disney Channel broadcast the first six movies in anticipation or create spinoffs based on lesser characters. You just know that cool video games will be coming. However, Disney's biggest starring role for the franchise and its familiar characters may very well reside in its theme parks. I've Got a Good Feeling About This Disney already has Star Wars attractions at a couple of its parks around the world. Closer to home, Star Tours -- a motion simulator ride -- has been entertaining guests at Disneyland in California and Hollywood Studios in Florida for ages. However, even after a recent update it's not one of the most popular attractions at either park. At the end of the day, it's just a motion simulator ride. Outside of R2-D2 and a pre-show cameo by C-3PO, the original Star Tours lacked a presence from the franchise's stars.

This is a problem that will likely be rectified in time for the 2015 debut of the new movie. The stars of the new movie themselves can even pitch in if it helps make any future additions more relevant. The crates at D23 referred to a "Project Orange Harvest" and it wouldn't be a surprise to see Disneyland get the first crack at a new Star Wars attraction. Will it be a single ride or will Disney give Star Wars its own big chunk of real estate, as rival Comcast (CMCSA) did with Harry Potter two years ago at Islands of Adventure? Comcast's theme park experienced a sharp spike in attendance after The Wizarding World of Harry Potter opened as a park within a park. Star Wars certainly has enough ammo to generate even greater buzz for Disney. These Are the Droids You're Looking For Popular chatter on Disney fan sites has been playing up the idea of a villains-themed park since the 1990s, which would giving the company a chance to break out wilder rides than the relatively tame fare at its existing parks. Florida certainly has more than enough land for it to happen, and now that Disney has acquired Pixar and Marvel, it can serve up fiercer baddies than Captain Hook and Cruella de Vil. However, the next step will likely be an elaborately themed "land" in an existing park with a handful attractions that will aim to raise the bar from The Wizarding World of Harry Potter. What might Disney do when its abundant financial and technological resources meet a potent portfolio of characters? We haven't seen Disney do a lot with Marvel characters in terms of actual rides, but it's also limited with what it can do in Florida since Comcast's park owns certain Marvel character rights. There are no similar restrictions with Star Wars. We don't know much, but we know that Disney doesn't cut a $4 billion check the way it did to Lucas without a vision for making its investment worth so much more.

United States

Walt Disney (DIS)

Attendance:

2008: 118,000,000

2009: 119,100,000

2010: 120,600,000

1) Walt Disney Parks and Resorts

United Kingdom 

Attendance:

2008: 35,200,000

2009: 38,500,000

2010: 41,000,000

2) Merlin Entertainments Group

United States

Attendance:

2008: 25,700,000

2009: 23,700,000

2010: 26,300,000

3) Universal Studios Recreation Group

Spain

Attendance:

2008: 24,900,000

2009: 24,800,000

2010: 25,800,000

4) Parques Reunidos

United States

Six Flags, Inc. (SIX)

Attendance:

2008: 25,300,000

2009: 23,800,000

2010: 24,300,000

5) Six Flags Inc.

United States

Attendance:

2008: 23,000,000

2009: 23,500,000

2010: 22,400,000

6) SeaWorld Parks & Entertainment

United States

Cedar Fair, L.P. (FUN)

Attendance:

2008: 22,700,000

2009: 21,100,000

2010: 22,800,000

7) Cedar Fair Entertainment Company

 People's Republic of China

Attendance:

2008: 13,400,000

2009: 15,800,000

2010: 19,300,000

8) OCT Parks China

United States

Attendance:

2008: 8,300,000

2009: N/A

2010: 9,600,000

9) Herschend Family Entertainment Corporation

France

Saturday, August 24, 2013

RIAs Call Social Media Policies Their Top Compliance Goal

Advisors are honing their social-media savvy, with nearly 83% of firms adopting formal social media policies this year—up from 64% in 2011 and nearly double the 43% of advisors who had such policies in 2010, according to a just-released compliance survey by the Investment Adviser Association, ACA Compliance Group and Old Mutual Asset Management.

The online survey of 462 registered investment advisors, conducted from April 18 to May 17, also found that fewer firms (49%) are prohibiting the use of social media sites for business purposes, down from 54% in 2012. Forty-three percent reported that their social media testing has increased in the past year.

Since last year’s survey, compliance testing has increased the most in the areas of advertising and marketing, personal trading, disaster recovery planning, and political contributions/pay to play, with 79% of firms indicating that they have not decreased compliance testing in any area.

The survey found that while 8% of firms reported detecting material compliance issues, 22% said they found none. The most common material issues were in the areas of advertising and marketing, personal trading, client guidelines and custody.

Laura Grossman, IAA’s assistant general counsel, said in a statement that the survey “confirms that investment advisory compliance professionals continue to adapt their firms’ compliance programs to address the progressively complex regulatory environment.”

Compliance professionals, she said, “are increasing testing, using more automated compliance systems, and implementing policies and procedures to respond to new challenges. For example, the percentage of firms that have adopted formal written social media policies has risen dramatically over a short period of time.”

As to the chief compliance officer role, 99% of firms reported that they do not outsource the CCO role, while 63% said their CCO is wearing two or more hats. Thirty-two percent of the firms polled reported having only one person in a full-time legal/compliance role, while 68% of firms reported that their CCO is a senior executive in the firm.

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Check out Site Aims to Make Social Media Free and Painless for Advisors.

Sunday, August 18, 2013

Healthways Renews Australian Contract - Analyst Blog

Leading well-being enhancement company Healthways (HWAY) recently announced a 5-year contract renewal with Australia's prominent not-for-profit private health insurer, the Hospitals Contributions Fund (HCF). This contract renewal was based on the anticipated success of the company's My Health Guardian, Australia's longest and largest health management program.

As per the agreement, HCF in going to invest A$100 million over the coming years which will help further advancement of this program. Healthways, which is currently focusing on expansion through partnerships, is optimistic about this renewal. The company expects this deal to improve outcomes and participant benefits, which will reinstate the value of Healthways' health and well-being solutions worldwide.

We are optimistic about the My Health Guardian program as recent data suggests that chronic illness, which currently accounts for 70% of Australia's national disease burden, is going to increase to 80% by 2020. In addition, HCF's strong customer base of 1.5 million Australians will add impetus to the company's growth. This particular model from Healthways encourages people to make favorable lifestyle changes that lead to enhanced well-being, reduced healthcare costs, improved performance and economic value for customers.

According to Heathways, 32% of the My Health Guardian plan users have successfully improved their Perception of Health Score, 46% have reported better medication management as well as lower lifestyle risk factors such as smoking rate, physical inactivity, obesity and poor diet.

Healthways has invested in technology platforms that provide scalable support for large populations. The company has alliances with a majority of the U.S. health plans and has a huge clientele. Due to its unique scalable business model, Healthways' shares may present a long-term investment opportunity, although it faces many challenges in the short term.

Currently, Healthways retains a Zacks Rank #3 (Ho! ld). Among other stocks in the industry,Natus Medical (BABY), Wright Medical Group Inc. (WMGI) and ResMed Inc. (RMD) appear impressive. These stocks carry a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).

Friday, August 16, 2013

Cigna Upgraded to Strong Buy - Analyst Blog

On Jul 9, Zacks Investment Research upgraded Cigna Corp. (CI) to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).

Why the Upgrade?

Cigna delivered positive earnings surprises in the last 4 quarters with an average beat of 13.8%.

Cigna is strongly poised to record earnings growth given a number of strategic investments undertaken. The long-term earnings growth for the company is presently pegged at 11.3%.

The company is focusing more on international expansion. Its global businesses have historically delivered double-digit revenue and earnings growth with very attractive margins and capital efficiency. Cigna is specifically eyeing the key Asian markets where the growing middle class demands better care.

Moreover, with the acquisition of HealthSpring, Cigna expanded in the Seniors and Medicare business. The acquisition of HealthSpring is likely to drive growth going forward and will be highly accretive on a cash basis.

Exiting its Run-off Reinsurance businesses is also a positive, as it was a significant liability on the Cigna.

It also possesses a solid balance sheet, which continues to grow with its strong operating earnings and cash flow generation.

In the last reported quarter, Cigna delivered earnings per share of $1.72, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 20.3% and the year-ago earnings by 39%. We expect the multi-insurer to surpass expectations when it reports its second-quarter results

Additionally, for the second quarter, the Zacks Consensus Estimate is pegged at $1.59 per share, up 4.6% year over year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2013 increased 0.5% to $6.44 per share over the last 30 days, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 7.4%. The same for 2014 is pegged at $7.01, increasing 1.7% over the same time frame and translating to a year-over-year improvement of 8.9%.

Other Stocks to Consider

Apart from Cigna, CNO Financial Group, Inc. (CNO) and Enstar Group Limited (ESGR) with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), and Assured ! Guaranty Ltd. (AGO), with a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) are also worth considering.


Thursday, August 15, 2013

Top Oil Companies To Watch In Right Now

For all of you who may be afraid of natural gas prices, here is some encouraging news: WPX Energy (NYSE: WPX  ) intends to bring two more drilling rigs to its primary gas holdings in the Piceance Basin. This 40% jump in activity could be another sign that natural gas producers are ready to reverse course after a rough 2012.

If you haven't heard of WPX, that's okay; however, it is one of the more intriguing energy plays in the U.S. Even though natural gas makes up over 80% of the company's reserves, it also has bigger oil holdings in the Bakken formation than some of the faster growing, yet smaller, oil producers. Fool.com contributor Tyler Crowe thinks WPX could be potentially primed for big gains in the space. In this video, Tyler and fellow Fool Aimee Duffy take a deeper look at WPX and discuss what this could mean for natural gas producers in general.�

Top Oil Companies To Watch In Right Now: Excela Limited(EXA.AX)

Fox Invest Limited is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm manages equity portfolios for its clients. It invests in public equity and alternative investment markets of Australia. The firm invests in growth oriented value stocks of large-cap and small-cap companies. For alternative instruments, it invests in options and funds. The firm employs fundamental analysis to make its equity investments. It benchmarks its investments in equity and funds against the ASX 300 Index. Fox Invest is based in Brisbane, Queensland.

Top Oil Companies To Watch In Right Now: Keynote Systems Inc.(KEYN)

Keynote Systems, Inc. provides Internet and mobile cloud monitoring and testing solutions worldwide. The company?s Internet cloud products and services comprise Transaction Perspective for visibility into the performance and availability of Web transactions; Application Perspective, a Web application monitoring service; Cloud Application Perspective that provides software-based performance monitoring; Private Agents for the performance of mission critical extranet and intranet applications; Streaming Perspective to measure, compare, and assure the performance of audio and video streams; and Performance Scoreboard, a custom dashboard to monitor Web performance. Its Internet cloud products and services also include Enterprise Adapters to integrate performance measurement data into enterprise systems management platforms; Keynote Internet Testing Environment, a desktop tool for real-time testing, diagnosing, and troubleshooting Web performance issues; LoadPro, a Web load tes ting service; Test Perspective, a self-service load testing service; Red Alert to test devices connected to the Internet; and consulting services, such as performance insights, Web site performance assessment, automated reporting, and custom competitive research. In addition, the company?s mobile cloud products and services primarily consist of System Integrated Test Environment System to test and measure the quality and reliability of mobile networks and applications, and content delivery for mobile operators; GlobalRoamer to certify and validate roaming agreements; Mobile Device Perspective to enhance the quality of mobile content, applications, and services; Mobile Web Perspective to monitor and troubleshoot the quality and performance for mobile Web sites; and Mobile Internet Testing Environment, a desktop tool. Further, it offers professional services, mobile competitive monitoring and analysis, and mobile insights. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California.

Top 10 Penny Stocks To Invest In 2014: Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp (PRE.TO)

Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas in Colombia, Peru, and Guatemala. The company holds interests in the Rubiales/Piriri and Quifa oil fields in the Llanos Basin, Colombia; and the La Creciente natural gas field in northern Colombia. It also has interests in the exploration properties, including 38 blocks in Colombia, 2 blocks in Guatemala, and 3 blocks in Peru. In addition, the company operates oil pipelines in Colombia. As of December 31, 2011, its proved plus probable reserves consisted of 407 million barrels of oil equivalent. The company was formerly known as Petro Rubiales Energy Corp. and changed its name to Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp. in January 2008. Pacific Rubiales Energy Corp. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Saturday, August 10, 2013

Can Walgreen See Higher Prices?

With shares of Walgreen (NYSE:WAG) trading around $49, is WAG an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework:

T = Trends for a Stock’s Movement

Walgreen operates a drugstore chain in the United States. The company provides its customers with access to consumer goods and services, pharmacy, and health and wellness services in communities across America. Walgreen sells prescription and non-prescription drugs, as well as general merchandise, including household items, convenience and fresh foods, photofinishing, and candy. General convenience and wellness merchandise is important to consumers across the nation. Walgreen is a go-to shop for a quick and efficient general merchandise, health, and wellness experience for consumers that should continue well into the future.

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T = Technicals on the Stock Chart are Strong

Walgreen stock has seen a consistent uptrend over the last several months. The stock is now trading at the top-end of a multi-year range so a breakout to all-time highs may be imminent. Analyzing the price trend and its strength can be done using key simple moving averages. What are the key moving averages? The 50-day (pink), 100-day (blue), and 200-day (yellow) simple moving averages. As seen in the daily price chart below, Walgreen is trading slightly above its rising key averages which signal neutral to bullish price action in the near-term.

WAG

(Source: Thinkorswim)

Taking a look at the implied volatility (red) and implied volatility skew levels of Walgreen options may help determine if investors are bullish, neutral, or bearish.

Implied Volatility (IV)

30-Day IV Percentile

90-Day IV Percentile

Walgreen Options

32.68%

90%

89%

What does this mean? This means that investors or traders are buying a very significant amount of call and put options contracts, as compared to the last 30 and 90 trading days.

Put IV Skew

Call IV Skew

July Options

Flat

Average

August Options

Flat

Average

As of today, there is an average demand from call buyers or sellers and low demand by put buyers or high demand by put sellers, all neutral to bullish over the next two months. To summarize, investors are buying a very significant amount of call and put option contracts and are leaning neutral to bullish over the next two months.

On the next page, let’s take a look at the earnings and revenue growth rates and the conclusion.

E = Earnings Are Decreasing Quarter-Over-Quarter

Rising stock prices are often strongly correlated with rising earnings and revenue growth rates. Also, the last four quarterly earnings announcement reactions help gauge investor sentiment on Walgreen’s stock. What do the last four quarterly earnings and revenue growth (Y-O-Y) figures for Walgreen look like and more importantly, how did the markets like these numbers?

2012 Q4

2012 Q3

2012 Q2

2012 Q1

Earnings Growth (Y-O-Y)

1.28%

-31.75%

-54.65%

-4.62%

Revenue Growth (Y-O-Y)

-0.02%

-4.63%

-4.98%

-3.37%

Earnings Reaction

5.44%

-3.3%

-0.43%

-5.85%

Walgreen has seen decreasing earnings and revenue figures over the last four quarters. From these numbers, the markets have been disappointed with Walgreen’s recent earnings announcements.

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P = Excellent Relative Performance Versus Peers and Sector

How has Walgreen stock done relative to its peers, CVS Caremark (NYSE:CVS), Rite Aid (NYSE:RAD), Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), and sector?

Walgreen

CVS Caremark

Rite Aid

Wal-Mart

Sector

Year-to-Date Return

33.69%

21.32%

122.4%

9.69%

15.32%

Walgreen has been a relative performance leader, year-to-date.

Conclusion

Walgreen provides health and wellness products, a pharmacy, and general products required by many consumers across the nation. The stock has been on a path towards higher prices in recent years that has taken it to the top-end of a multi-year range. Over the last four quarters, earnings and revenue figures have been on the decline which has disappointed investors in the company. Relative to its peers and sector,  Walgreen has been a year-to-date performance leader. WAIT AND SEE what Walgreen does at these prices.

Friday, August 9, 2013

Does J.C. Penney Still Not Have a Plan?

We all want to see results, I get it. But J.C. Penney (NYSE: JCP  ) has gone from a company that wants to build something into a company that wants to just have something, it seems. Recent reports have put new CEO Mike Ullman back out on the mean streets with a new CEO on the way.

Bill "The Infuriator" Ackman, who pushed so hard to get Ron Johnson in the CEO seat, now wants to put some other sucker in place. He's sweetening the pot by bringing back yet another old-timer, ex-CEO Allen Questrom. If Questrom likes the new CEO pick, he'll grace the board with his presence as chairman. Thanks, Bill.

The underdog usually loses
J.C. Penney has reached that odd state where everyone seems to see the conclusion of the story except the people who are in the actual story. Once again, the stock reacted with odd violence to any news regarding the company, and jumped 7%. But why is unclear.

In J.C. Penney's defense, Ullman was always going to be a filler CEO. Ackman's letter to the board -- obtained by CNBC on Wednesday -- cited the lack of a permanent CEO as part of the problem that's been pulling the stock down. Luckily, he's got a clear vision for just the kind of person that J.C. Penney needs -- and who knows better than Bill Ackman? For the record, in 2011 Ackman referred to Johnson as "the Steve Jobs of the retail industry." 

Where is the floor?
The problem with J.C. Penney -- qua investment -- is that there simply is no meaningful plan. Or, for the few months in which there is a plan, it's a bad plan. Johnson had plans, but none of them appealed to the J.C. Penney consumer, so they just lost money. The board had plans about getting cash, but it required putting the only thing of value that the company owns -- its real estate -- up as collateral. In short, J.C. Penney hasn't been great with planning.

How are investors supposed to know when this thing hits the floor? Over the last 12 months, the stock has ranged between $32.55 and $12.50. I still have no hope that this is the end, as sales have continued to slide. Last quarter, comparable-store sales dropped 16.6% year over year. Even if that slows, it still means that sales are falling.

The potential to turn the business into a real estate trust of some sort is currently on hold, due to the $2.25 billion term loan that the company took out. With no clear plan, no backup plan, no leadership, and no customers, I can see no reason to give J.C. Penney another chance.

The best investing approach is to choose great companies and stick with them for the long term. J.C. Penney is not one of those companies. Luckily, The Motley Fool's free report "3 Stocks That Will Help You Retire Rich" names stocks that could help you build long-term wealth and retire well, along with some winning wealth-building strategies that every investor should be aware of. Click here now to keep reading.

Thursday, August 8, 2013

Top 5 Medical Companies To Own In Right Now

The Food and Drug Administration has approved�St. Jude Medical's (NYSE: STJ  ) new Ellipse implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) and its Assura cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator (CRT-D), high-voltage devices with new safety features.

According to St. Jude's press release yesterday, the products are designed to promote effectiveness in providing electronic shock therapy while reducing safety risks.

The approvals come as St. Jude's cardiovascular rhythm management (CRM) division, which includes these and similar devices, has faced significant sales pressure. St. Jude's CRM revenue�fell by around 6% last year.

St. Jude's U.S. approvals come after the company received European�CE Mark approval for the Ellipse and Assura last year. The Ellipse and other ICDs are designed to treat abnormal heart rates, while Assura and other CRT-Ds are designed to manage irregularities in the beating of the heart's lower chambers. Both conditions, if untreated, can lead to potentially fatal outcomes such as sudden cardiac death and heart failure.

Top 5 Medical Companies To Own In Right Now: Navidea Biopharmaceuticals Inc (NAVB)

Navidea Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. (Navidea), formerly Neoprobe Corporation, incorporated in 1983, is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of precision diagnostic agents. As of December 31, 2011, the Company�� radiopharmaceutical development programs included Lymphoseek (Lymphoseek, Kit for the Preparation of Technetium Tc99m for Injection), a radiopharmaceutical agent for lymph node mapping; AZD4694, an imaging agent, and RIGScan, a tumor antigen-specific targeting agent. In January 2012, the Company executed an option agreement with Alseres Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Alseres) to license [123I]-E-IACFT Injection, also called Altropane, an Iodine-123 radiolabeled imaging agent, being developed as an aid in the diagnosis of Parkinson�� disease, movement disorders and dementia. In August 2011, the Company sold its gamma detection device line of business (the GDS Business) to Devicor Medical Products, Inc.

Lymphoseek

Navidea�� pipeline includes clinical-stage radiopharmaceutical agents used to identify the presence and status of disease. Lymphoseek (Kit for the Preparation of Technetium Tc99m for Injection) is a lymph node targeting agent intended for use in intraoperative lymphatic mapping (ILM) procedures and lymphoscintigraphy employed in the overall diagnostic assessment of certain solid tumor cancers. The lymph system is a component of the body�� immune system. The key components of the lymph system are lymph nodes-small anatomic structures that contain disease-fighting lymphocytes, filter lymph of bacteria and cancer cells, and signal infection in response to heightened levels of pathogens. In Navidea�� Phase III clinical studies of Lymphoseek, it detected over 99% of positive nodes identified by vital blue dye (VBD). As of December 31, 2011, Navidea, in co-operation with UC, San Diego affiliate (UCSD), completed or initiated five Phase I clinical trials, one multi-center Phase II trial and three multi-center Phase II trials inv! olving Lymphoseek. Two Phase III studies were completed in subjects with breast cancer and melanoma. During the year ended December 31, 2011, data from NEO3-09 were released, which indicated that all primary and secondary endpoints for the study were met. As of December 31, 2011, third Phase III clinical trial for Lymphoseek in subjects with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (NEO3-06) was in progress.

AZD4694

AZD4694 is a Fluorine-18 labeled precision radiopharmaceutical candidate for use in the imaging and evaluation of patients with signs or symptoms of cognitive impairment such as Alzheimer's disease (AD). It binds to beta-amyloid deposits in the brain that can then be imaged in positron emission tomography (PET) scans. Amyloid plaque pathology is a required feature of AD and the presence of amyloid pathology is a supportive feature for diagnosis of probable AD. Patients who are negative for amyloid pathology do not have AD. AZD4694 has been studied in several clinical trials. Clinical studies through Phase IIa have included more than 80 patients to date, both suspected AD patients and healthy volunteers. No significant adverse events have been observed. Results suggest that AZD4694 has the ability to image patients quickly and safely with high sensitivity.

RadioImmunoGuided Surgery

As of December 31, 2011, RIGScan had been studied in a number of clinical trials, including Phase III studies. Navidea has conducted two Phase III studies, NEO2-13 and NEO2-14, of RIGScan in patients with primary and metastatic colorectal cancer, respectively. Both studies were multi-institutional involving cancer treatment institutions in the United States, Israel, and the European Union.

The Company competes with Pharmalucence, Eli Lilly, Bayer Schering, General Electric and GE Healthcare.

Top 5 Medical Companies To Own In Right Now: StemCells Inc (STEM)

StemCells, Inc. (StemCells), incorporated in August 1988, is engaged in the research, development, and commercialization of stem cell therapeutics and related tools and technologies for academia and industry. The Company is focused on developing and commercializing stem and progenitor cells as the basis for therapeutics and therapies, and cells and related tools and technologies to enable stem cell-based research and drug discovery and development. The Company�� primary research and development efforts are focused on identifying and developing stem and progenitor cells as potential therapeutic agents. The Company has two therapeutic product development programs, including its CNS Program, which is developing applications for HuCNS-SC cells, its human neural stem cell product candidate, and its Liver Program, which is characterizing the Company�� human liver cells as a therapeutic product.

CNS Program

The Company in its CNS Program, is in clinical development with its HuCNS-SC cells for a range of disorders of the central nervous system. The CNS includes the brain, spinal cord and eye. In February 2012, the Company had completed a Phase I clinical trial in Pelizeaus-Merzbacher Disease (PMD), a fatal myelination disorder in the brain.

The Company�� CNS Program is focused on developing clinical applications, in which transplanting HuCNS-SC cells protect or restore organ function of the patient before such function is irreversibly damaged or lost due to disease progression. The Company�� initial target indications are PMD, and more generally, diseases in which deficient myelination plays a central role, such as cerebral palsy or multiple sclerosis; spinal cord injury, disorders in which retinal degeneration plays a central role, such as age-related macular degeneration or retinitis pigmentosa. The Company�� product candidate, HuCNS-SC cells, is a purified and expanded composition of normal human neural stem cells. Its HuCNS-SC cells can be directly transp! lanted.

Liver Program

Liver stem or progenitor cells offer an alternative treatment for liver diseases. A liver cellular therapy or cell-based therapeutic provide or support liver function in patients with liver disease. The Company held a portfolio of issued and allowed patents in the liver field, which cover the isolation and use of both hLEC cells and the isolated subset, as well as the composition of the cells themselves.

The Company�� range of cell culture products, which are sold under the SC Proven brand, includes iSTEM, GS1-R, GS2-M, RHB-A, RHB-Basal, NDiff N2, and NDiff N2B27. Its iSTEM is a serum-free, feeder-free medium that maintains mouse embryonic stem cells in their pluripotent ground state by using selective small molecule inhibitors to block the pathways, which induce differentiation. RHB-A is a defined, serum-free culture medium for the selective culture of human and mouse neural stem cells and their maintenance and expansion as adherent cell populations. RHB-Basal is a defined, serum-free basal medium. When supplemented with specific growth factors, this media is formulated for the propagation and differentiation of adherent neural stem cells. RHB-Basal can also be tailored to specific-cell type requirements by the addition of customer preferred supplements.

The Company�� NDiff N2 is a defined serum-free scell culture supplement for the derivation, maintenance, expansion and/or differentiation of human and mouse embryonic stem (ES) cells and tissue-derived neural stem cells supplement. Its NDiff N2-AF is a serum-free and animal component-free version of NDiff N2. Its NDiff N2B27 is a defined, serum-free medium for the differentiation of mouse embryonic stem cells to neural cell types. NDiff N27-AF is a serum-free and animal component-free version of NDiff N27. Its GS1-R is a serum-free media formulation shown to enable the derivation and long-term maintenance of true, germline competent rat embryonic stem cells without the add! ition of ! cytokines or growth factors. Its GS2-M is a defined, serum- and feeder-free medium for the derivation and long-term maintenance of true, germline competent mouse iPS cells.

The Company also markets a number of antibody reagents for use in cell detection, isolation and characterization. These reagents are also under the SC Proven brand and it includes STEM24, STEM101, STEM121 and STEM123. Its STEM24 is a human antibody that recognizes human CD24, also known as heat stable antigen (HSA), a glycoprotein expressed on the surface of many human cell types, including immature human hematopoietic cells, peripheral blood lymphocytes, erythrocytes and many human carcinomas. Its CD24 is also a marker of human neural differentiation. Its STEM101 is a human-specific mouse antibody that recognizes the Ku80 protein found in human nuclei. Its STEM121 is a human-specific mouse antibody that recognizes a cytoplasmic protein of human cells. Its STEM123 is a human-specific mouse antibody that recognizes human glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP).

The Company�� Other products marketed under SC Proven include total cell genomic DNA (gDNA), RNA and protein lysate reagents purified from homogenous stem cell populations for intra-comparative studies, such as Epigenetic fingerprinting, Southern, Western and Northern blots, PCR, RT-PCR and microarrays. This range of purified stem cell line lysates includes mouse embryonic stem (ES) cells propagated in SC Proven 2i inhibitor-based GS2-M media and mouse ES cell-derived and fetal tissue-derived neural stem (NS) cells propagated in SC Proven RHB-A media.

Hot Cheap Stocks To Watch Right Now: Hanger Orthopedic Group Inc.(HGR)

Hanger Orthopedic Group, Inc. engages in the ownership and operation of orthotic and prosthetic (O&P) patient care centers in the United States. The company provides orthotic and prosthetic patient care services. Its orthotics business include the design, fabrication, fitting, and maintenance of a range of standard and custom-made braces and other devices that provide external support to patients suffering from musculoskeletal disorders, such as ailments of the back, extremities or joints, and injuries from sports or other activities. The company?s prosthetics business comprise designing, fabricating, fitting, and maintaining custom-made artificial limbs for patients, who are without limbs as a result of traumatic injuries, vascular diseases, diabetes, cancer, or congenital disorders. It also distributes branded and private label O&P devices, as well as develops programs to manage various aspects of O&P patient care for insurance companies. In addition, the company manufac tures and distributes therapeutic footwear for diabetic patients in the podiatric market, as well as develops and provides specialized rehabilitation technologies and integrated clinical programs to rehabilitation providers. As of June 30, 2011, it operated approximately 675 patient-care centers in 45 states and the District of Columbia. The company, formerly known as Sequel Corporation, was founded in 1861 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Newsy Stocks]

    Hanger Orthopedic Group Inc. (NYSE: HGR) engages in the ownership and operation of orthotic and prosthetic (OP) patient care centers in the United States. The company has a total market capitalization of $601.8 million and in the last 1-year the stock has given a return of 34 percent. The company does not pay any dividend to its stockholders, and has a price of profit (POP) of 10. The stock is trading at a P/E of 20.92, higher than the industry’s average P/E of 14.15. The PEG ratio of the stock is 0.86 years, lower than industry’s PEG of 1 year. The average 5 years historical earnings growth is 25.60 percent and is expected to grow at 15 percent for the next 5 years. Its quarterly revenue growth is estimated at 17.12 percent. The stock has a P/B value of 1.54x percent. Analyst at Jefferies brokerage firm has given it a buy rating on $31.20 price target. Based on the price target the stock is trading at a discount of 42.44 percent. HGR was up 2.04 percent to $18.53 on Wednesday.

Top 5 Medical Companies To Own In Right Now: Telik Inc (TELK.PH)

Telik, Inc. (Telik), incorporated in 1988, is a clinical-stage drug development company focused on discovering and developing small molecule drugs to treat cancer. The Company discovers its product candidates using the Company�� drug discovery technology, Target-Related Affinity Profiling (TRAP). TELINTRA, its principal drug product candidate in clinical development, is a small molecule glutathione analog inhibitor of the enzyme glutathione S-transferase P1-1 (GST P1-1). TELCYTA, its other product candidate, is a small molecule cancer drug product candidate designed to be activated in cancer cells.

Clinical Product Development

TELINTRA is the Company�� lead small molecule product candidate in clinical development for the treatment of blood disorders, including cancer. It has a mechanism of action and acts by inhibiting GST P1-1, an enzyme that is involved in the control of cellular growth and differentiation. Inhibition of GST P1-1 results in the activation of the signaling molecule Jun kinase, a regulator of the function of blood precursor cells. Preclinical tests show that TELINTRA is capable of causing the death or apoptosis of leukemic or malignant blood cells, while stimulating the growth and development of normal blood precursor cells. TELINTRA has been studied in Myelodysplastic Syndrome (MDS) using two formulations. A liposomal formulation was developed for intravenous administration of TELINTRA and was used in Phase I and Phase II studies in MDS patients. The results from the Phase II intravenous liposomal TELINTRA clinical trials demonstrated that TELINTRA treatment was associated with improvement in all three types of blood cell levels in patients with all types of MDS, including those in intermediate and high-risk groups. An oral dosage formulation (tablet) was subsequently developed and results from a Phase I study with TELINTRA tablets showed clinical activity and the formulation to be well tole rated. In June 2011, the Company initiated a Phase II clini! c! al trial to evaluate TELINTRA tablets. In October 2011, the Company initiated an additional Phase IIb clinical trial to evaluate TELINTRA tablets. '

The activity and safety profile of tablet formulation allowed the Company to complete a Phase II trial of TELINTRA tablets in MDS. The primary objective of the Phase II TELINTRA tablet study was to determine the efficacy of TELINTRA. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify MDS disease prognostic factors associated with erythroid improvement response rates, including prior MDS treatment, age, gender, the international prognostic scoring system (IPSS), risk, Eastern Cooperative Group performance status, years from MDS diagnosis, MDS World Health Organization subtypes, anemia only versus anemia plus other cytopenias, dose schedule and starting dose. Results from this study show that TELINTRA is the first GSTP1-1 enzyme inhibitor shown to cause clinically reductions in red blood cell transf usions, including transfusion independence in low to intermediate-1 risk MDS patients, as well as improvement in platelet count and white blood cell levels in certain patients. TELINTRA, administered orally twice daily, appeared to be convenient and flexible for chronic treatment administration.

TELCYTA is a small molecule drug product candidate that the Company is developed for the treatment of cancer. TELCYTA binds to GST. TELCYTA has been evaluated in multiple Phase II and Phase III clinical trials, including trials using TELCYTA as monotherapy and in combination regimens in ovarian, non-small cell lung, breast and colorectal cancer. Results from these clinical trials indicate that TELCYTA monotherapy was generally well-tolerated, with mostly mild to moderate side effects, particularly when compared to the side effects and toxicities of standard chemotherapeutic drugs. When TELCYTA was evaluated in combination with standard chemotherapeutic drugs, the tolera bility of the combinations was similar to that expected! of e! ac! h drug ! alone.

Clinical activity including objective tumor responses and/or disease stabilization was reported in the TELCYTA Phase II trials; however, TELCYTA did not meet its primary endpoints in the Phase III studies. Positive results from a Phase I-IIa multicenter, dose-ranging study of TELCYTA in combination with carboplatin and paclitaxel as first-line therapy for patients with non-small cell lung cancer, or NSCLC, were published in a peer reviewed publication. Clinical data demonstrated positive results of TELCYTA in combination with carboplatin and paclitaxel in the treatment of first-line lung cancer followed by TELCYTA maintenance therapy. As of December 31, 2011, the Company had an on-going investigator-led study at a single site of TELCYTA in patients with refractory or relapsed mantle cell lymphoma, diffuse B cell lymphoma, and multiple myeloma.

Preclinical Drug Product Development

The Company has a small molecule compound, TLK60 404, in preclinical development that inhibits both Aurora kinase and VEGFR kinase. Aurora kinase is a signaling enzyme whose function is required for cancer cell division, while VEGF plays a key role in tumor blood vessel formation, ensuring an adequate supply of nutrients to support tumor growth. These lead compounds prevented tumor growth in preclinical models of human colon cancer and human leukemia by inhibiting both Aurora kinase and VEGFR kinase. A development drug product candidate, TLK60404, has been selected.

The Company, using its TRAP technology has discovered TLK60357, a novel, potent small molecule inhibitor of cell division. TLK60357 inhibits the formation of microtubules that are necessary for cancer cell growth leading to persistent G2/M cancer cell cycle block and subsequent cell death. This compound demonstrates potent broad-spectrum anticancer activity against a number of human cancer cells. This compound also displays oral efficacy in multipl e, standard preclinical models of cancer. TLK6059! 6, a pote! nt! VGFR kin! ase inhibitor, blocks the formation of new blood vessels in tumors. Oral administration of TLK60596 to animal models of human colon cancer reduced tumor growth.

Top 5 Medical Companies To Own In Right Now: Galena Biopharma Inc (GALE)

Galena Biopharma, Inc. (Galena), formerly RXi Pharmaceuticals Corporation, incorporated on April 3, 2006, is a biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing and commercializing therapies addressing unmet medical needs using targeted biotherapeutics. The Company is pursuing the development of cancer therapeutics using peptide-based immunotherapy products, including its main product candidate, NeuVaxTM (E75), for the treatment of breast cancer and other tumors. NeuVax is a peptide-based immunotherapy intended to reduce the recurrence of breast cancer in low-to-intermediate HER2-positive breast cancer patients not eligible for trastuzumab (Herceptin; Genentech/Roche). On January 19, 2012, the Company initiated enrollment in its Phase 3 PRESENT clinical trial for NeuVax (E75 peptide plus GM-CSF) vaccine in low-to-intermediate HER2 1+ and 2+ breast cancer patients in the adjuvant setting to prevent recurrence (Clinicaltrials.gov identifier NCT01479244). The Prevention of Recurrence in Early-Stage, Node-Positive Breast Cancer with Low to Intermediate HER2 Expression with NeuVax Treatment study is a randomized, multicenter, multinational clinical trial that will enroll approximately 700 breast cancer patients. The Company�� Phase 2 trial of NeuVax achieved its primary endpoint of disease-free survival (DFS). On April 13, 2011, the Company completed its acquisition of Apthera, Inc.,(Apthera).

The Company focuses to start a Phase 2 trial comparing NeuVax in combination with trastuzumab (Herceptin) versus trastuzumab, alone, in a 300-patient, randomized study in the adjuvant breast cancer setting. The Company's second product candidate, Folate Binding Protein-E39 (FBP), is a vaccine, consisting of the peptides E39 and J65, aimed at preventing the recurrence of ovarian, endometrial, and breast cancers. On February 14, 2012, the Company announced the initiation of a Phase 1/2 clinical trial in two gynecological cancers: ovarian and endometrial adenocarcinomas. Folate binding protein has ! very limited tissue distribution and expression in non-malignant tissue and is over-expressed in more than 90% of ovarian and endometrial cancers, as well as in 20% to 50% of breast, lung, colorectal and renal cell carcinomas.

In April 2011, the Company acquired Apthera Inc and its NeuVax product candidate. The Company focuses on developing a pipeline of immunotherapy product candidates for the treatment of various cancers based on the E75 peptide, the advanced of which is NeuVax, which is targeted at preventing the recurrence of breast cancer. NeuVax has had positive Phase 1/2 clinical trial results for the prevention of breast cancer recurrence in patients who have had breast cancer and received the standard of care treatment (surgery, chemotherapy, radiotherapy and hormonal therapy as indicated). The Company had also initiated its Phase 3 PRESENT clinical trial of NeuVax for the prevention of breast cancer recurrence in early-stage low-to-intermediate HER2 breast cancer patients. NeuVax directs killer T-cells to target and destroy cancer cells that express HER2/neu, a protein associated with epithelial tumors in breast, ovarian, pancreatic, colon, bladder and prostate cancers. NeuVax is comprised of a HER2/neu-derived peptide called E75. E75 is a nine-amino acid sequence that is immunogenic (produces an immune response) and GM-CSF is a commercially available protein that acts to stimulate and activate components of the immune system such as macrophages and dendritic cells.

The Company also develops novel applications for NeuVax based on preclinical studies and phases 2 clinical trials which suggest that combining NeuVax and trastuzumab (Herceptin; Genentech/Roche) can increase antigen presentation by tumor cells by promoting receptor internalization and subsequent proteosomal degradation of the HER2 protein. The Company also is pursuing additional therapeutic indications for NeuVax that are in Phase 1/2 clinical trials. RXI-109, is a dermal anti-scarring therapy that targets! connecti! ve tissue growth factor (CTGF) and that may inhibit connective tissue formation in human fibrotic disease.

The Company competes with Roche Laboratories, Inc., Pfizer Inc., Bayer HealthCare AG, Sanofi-Aventis, US, LLC, Amgen, Inc., GlaxoSmithKline plc, Renovo Group plc, CoDa Therapeutics, Inc., Sirnaomics, Inc., FirstString Research, Inc., Merz Pharmaceuticals, LLC, Capstone Therapeutics, Halscion, Inc., Garnet Bio Therapeutics, Inc., AkPharma Inc., Promedior, Inc., Kissei Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Eyegene, Derma Sciences, Inc., Healthpoint Biotherapeutics, Pharmaxon, Excaliard Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Marina Biotech, Inc., Tacere Therapeutics, Inc., Benitec Limited, OPKO Health, Inc., Silence Therapeutics plc, Quark Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Rosetta Genomics Ltd., Lorus Therapeutics, Inc., Tekmira Pharmaceuticals Corporation, Arrowhead Research Corporation, Regulus Therapeutics Inc. and Santaris.

New Never Settle Bundle And Potential GPU Refresh May Boost AMD

Today SemiAccurate released an article detailing the upcoming September launch of Advanced Micro Device's (AMD) next generation GPU. In the article Charlie also stated Kaveri remains on track as I had stated in my previous AMD piece.

A GPU launch has the potential to aid a positive surprise during the Q3 earnings report, and possibly move the stock price around the release of the new GPUs. In this article I would like to provide some estimations of how this can impact revenue for the quarter going forward for AMD's Graphics and Visual Solutions Segment.

Battlefield 4 Will Probably Be Included as Part of the Never Settle Forever Bundle

Image Courtesy of BF4Central

According to Heise Online, AMD's Mr. Roy Taylor disclosed that we can anticipate BF4 to be included with a Never Settle bundle.

Recently in an interview with VR Zone, Mr. Taylor also disclosed that we can expect the announcement of a new Never Settle bundle being released in August. Whether or not BF4 is included in this August bundle remains to be seen, but we will know shortly.

During the last quarter, AMD's Graphics and Visual Solutions department swung from an operating profit to break even. In a previous article, I detailed what I felt could be potential positive catalysts to drive sales back up prior to the Q3 earnings call. Based on this recent news from Heise Online and SemiAccurate, it seems some of these catalysts are more likely, but not yet confirmed.

I believe the revenue decline of AMD's graphics segment is mainly attributed to lowering sales and ASPs of GPUs due to competing with an aging line. A refresh will likely raise these ASPs back up improving margins. The game bundles should serve to spur sales. Heisi Online estimates a price of ~$15 per license for each game.

For anyone that doubts the strength of including BF4 as a ! potential catalyst for sales, BBC reports that Battlefield 3 sold 5 million copies in the first week. Bear in mind that this 5 million is split between PCs and consoles, but assuming BF4 has the same launch strength and 20% of the total BF3 first week sales were PC based, this leads to potentially 1 million copies of BF4 sold.

Many times users like to upgrade hardware in conjunction with game releases, so even if Nvidia (NVDA) loyalists do not switch over, AMD fans that have had been holding off on upgrading could be swayed into upgrades provided they will receive a game that typically costs upwards of $50, plus probably a few others depending on the card they choose. These games likely cost AMD less than $100 total, while saving the consumer much more than this.

Better Drivers and New GPUs

I have reported before I felt that one of the reasons AMD had lost market share in recent years to Nvidia was due to Nvidia being known to have better drivers, but AMD is fixing these issues.


(Click to enlarge)

Looking at benchmarks, we can see that AMD's single card microstutter issues were fixed on single card solutions. AMD tweeted we could expect a fix for fixing issues with CrossFire (running 2 GPUs together). AMD released Beta drivers to address this issue as well, and by and large were able to solve the problems, although there is still a little room for improvement.

AMD launched their 7000 series cards in December of 2011. All cards released since have been tweaks of this design. I highly recommend reading the SemiAccurate article detailing this launch, as Charlie paints a great picture of the importance of these cards.

I will add that the flagship HD 7990 also received a price cut, dropping the price to $700. For the uber-enthusiast, this represents a card that offers a higher level of gaming performance than the GTX Titan for! $300 les! s.

Conclusion

AMD's Graphics and Visual Solutions group is a smaller source of revenue than Computing Solutions, so this is less than half of the Q3 story for earnings for AMD. I still consider AMD a speculative play with plenty of risks.

Last quarter AMD's Computing Solutions group swung to a profit, which was largely ignored by the Street. Based on IDC numbers, PC sales should pick up slightly in the back half of the year which could help continue to support AMD's largest operating group. Meanwhile AMD's historically profitable Graphics segment dropped to break even, I believe based on the factors discussed above.

Given design times, if AMD launches their new GPU line in September, this means the actual chips were shipping to the manufacturers (such as Sapphire) for a large part of the quarter. This along with potentially higher ASPs and unit sales could drive AMD's Graphics segment back to profitability.

The biggest pitfall I could see is AMD's Computing Solutions group slumping. Based on Mr. Read's statements during the Q2 call that part of the positive surprise was due to adoption of Kabini and Temash, I do not believe this will be the case. However, as retailers clear inventory to make room for Haswell powered PCs, the prices on Intel's prior generation Ivy Bridge computers have dropped, adding competitive pressure.

The best case for AMD is that the Computing Solutions group is supported by the slight increase in PC sales, achieving at least break even status, combined with AMD's Graphics segment returning to profitability. Products featuring Intel's (INTC) Bay Trail should not appear at retailers until later in Q3 or in Q4, giving AMD a time to market advantage with low power, low priced CPUs.

All of this is before console revenues are factored in. AMD should also reduce OPEX by another $30M, which will have more of a direct affect on bottom line and EPS. Add in console revenues, and the chance of a positive surprise is more likely. According to sh! ortsqueez! e.com, AMD has a healthy short interest right now as well, meaning a nice earnings beat could have an added bonus if shorts decide to cover.

Source: New Never Settle Bundle And Potential GPU Refresh May Boost AMD

Disclosure: I am long AMD. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. I actively trade my AMD position. I may add or liquidate shares at any time. (More...)

Wednesday, August 7, 2013

Apple and Google Will Fight Over This Start-Up

Every one of the major tech companies has taken steps to upgrade messaging. Microsoft has combined MSN Messenger with Skype, for example. Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL  ) has iMessage. Google (NASDAQ: GOOG  ) has upgraded its efforts in a new platform called Hangouts. Start-up MessageMe may best them all anyway.

MessageMe has grown astoundingly in the two months since launch. According to TechCrunch, the service now has 5 million iOS and Android users while usage has tripled. And not just text messages -- MessageMe sets itself apart by allowing users to swap video, voice, and text messages as well as music, location data, and doodles, says Tim Beyers of Motley Fool Rule Breakers and Motley Fool Supernova in the following video.

Users appear to appreciate the variety, and that's a problem for the incumbents. Google took years to upgrade its messaging system. Apple's Messages isn't much better. Don't be surprised if these two start a bidding war for the platform, especially if MessageMe offers a premium app that supports money transfers, Tim says.

Do you agree? Please watch the video to get Tim's full take, and then let us know which messaging apps you're using now, and why.

The next big iThing
Apple has a history of cranking out revolutionary products... and then creatively destroying them with something better. Read about the future of Apple in the free report, "Apple Will Destroy Its Greatest Product." Can Apple really disrupt its own iPhones and iPads? Find out by clicking here.

Tuesday, August 6, 2013

10 Best Casino Stocks To Watch Right Now

 Some critics of our current monetary system will tell you that it tends to make speculators out of everyone...
 
After all, our current monetary system allows the Federal Reserve to "bail out" folks who make terrible lending and borrowing decisions... And the argument goes, if you can't trust the government to maintain a sound currency, you're less likely to park your savings in that currency. You're more likely to make risky bets on stocks, real estate, and bonds. Less sophisticated people are more likely to gamble with their money in lotteries and casinos.
 
That's the theory... But let's consult the market to see if it's working in real life...

10 Best Casino Stocks To Watch Right Now: Boyd Gaming Corporation(BYD)

Boyd Gaming Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a multi-jurisdictional gaming company in the United States. As of December 31, 2011, the company owned and operated 1,042,787 square feet of casino space, containing approximately 25,973 slot machines, 655 table games, and 11,418 hotel rooms. It also owned and operated 16 gaming entertainment properties located in Nevada, Illinois, Louisiana, Mississippi, Indiana, and New Jersey. In addition, the company owns and operates a pari-mutuel jai-alai facility located in Dania Beach, Florida, as well as a travel agency in Hawaii. Further, it holds a 50% controlling interest in the limited liability company that operates Borgata Hotel Casino and Spa in Atlantic City, New Jersey. Boyd Gaming Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jeanine Poggi]

    The Las Vegas locals and Atlantic City markets have the longest road to recovery, making Boyd Gaming (BYD) one of the most challenged stocks in the sector long-term.

    It's not a surprise then that Boyd saw some of the most muted gains in 2010, with shares rising just 13.8% since the beginning of the year.

    In Atlantic City, where Boyd owns a 50% stake in the Borgata, gambling revenue plunged 13% in November. The New Jersey Boardwalk has been under pressure even before the recession began, as nearby regions expand their gaming presence.

    Both West Virginia and Pennsylvania added table games to casinos in the second half of the year and new properties opened in Philadelphia and Maryland. In 2011, Atlantic City will also have to contend with additional growth in Pennsylvania and the pending opening of the Aqueduct in New York City.

    Given this, Boyd decided not to exercise its right to match a $250 million offer MGM Resorts(MGM) received for its 50% stake in the Borgata. MGM decided to divest its joint venture with Boyd after the Atlantic City Gaming Commission criticized its relationship with Pansy Ho in Macau, whose family has allegedly been tied to organized crime in China.

    In the Las Vegas locals market, where Boyd generates about 44% of its EBITDA, trends are improving, but not as quickly as analysts would have hoped. In October, gaming revenue in the market grew 6.2% to $169.4 million.

    In its third quarter, Boyd disappointed Wall Street, with adjusted earnings coming in at 2 cents a share, shy of consensus estimates of 5 cents. Revenue dropped 4% to $595.4 million.

    Boyd also announced plans to sell $500 million of eight-year notes. Proceeds will be used to buy back senior subordinated notes due 2012 and to repay bank loans.

  • [By Hesler]

    Boyd Gaming(BYD) posted a bigger-than-expected drop in its second-quarter earnings, citing weak performance in Las Vegas, the Midwest and the South.

    During the quarter, the casino operator earned $3.4 million, or 4 cents a share, a 73% plunge from $12.8 million, or 15 cents, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings came in at 5 cents a share, significantly lower than the 10 cents Wall Street predicted for Boyd.

    Boyd's revenue fell 6% to $578.4 million, also short of the consensus of $588 million.

    "The lingering effects of the recession have left consumers unusually sensitive to shifts in the economy, and they now react more quickly to economic data and other developments, such as fluctuations in the stock market," said CEO Keith Smith, in a statement. "Although conditions remain uncertain, we believe long-term stabilizing trends are still in place, and that year-over-year growth is achievable by the end of 2010."

    In the Las Vegas locals market, the rate of decline in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization rose to 16.2% from 10.8%, J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff wrote in a note. Boyd previously reported a 9.9% decline for its Borgata property in Atlantic City. Revenue came in at $186.9 million, a 2.4% decrease from the year-ago period.

    "We think second-quarter results are less important than the coming operating results in the second-half of 2010, when the Atlantic City market faces increased regional competitive pressures from tables in Pennsylvania and West Virginia and the first Philadelphia casino opens this summer," J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff wrote in a note.

    Greff reaffirmed his underweight rating on Boyd, given increasing competition in Atlantic City, a weak recovery in the Las Vegas locals market and stagnant regional gaming trends.

    While there is no doubt the Atlantic City gaming market remains one of the most depressed, Borgata continues to dominate the market and gain share. Atlant! ic City saw gaming revenues plunge 11.1% in June to $286.8 million. Boyd co-owns Borgata with MGM Resorts, which is currently in the process of divesting its 50% stake.

10 Best Casino Stocks To Watch Right Now: MGM Resorts International(MGM)

MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, primarily owns and operates casino resorts in the United States. The company?s resorts offer gaming, hotel, dining, entertainment, retail, and other resort amenities. It also owns and operates golf courses and a golf club. As of December 31, 2010, the company owned and operated 15 properties located in Nevada, Mississippi, and Michigan; and has 50% investments in 4 other casino resorts in Nevada, Illinois, and Macau. In addition, MGM Resorts International has an agreement with the Mashantucket Pequot Tribal Nation, which owns and operates a casino resort in Connecticut, to carry the ?MGM Grand? brand name. The company was formerly known as MGM MIRAGE and changed its name to MGM Resorts International in June 2010. MGM Resorts International was founded in 1986 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Goodwin]

    MGM Resorts International(MGM) has the most exposure to the Las Vegas market, making it a bet only for those with thick skin.

    For the second quarter, the casino operator lost $883.5 million, or $2 a share, compared with a loss of $212.5 million, or 60 cents, in the year-ago period.

    A majority of the loss was attributed to a $1.12 billion writedown on its investment in CityCenter in Las Vegas. This is the third time MGM has had to write down CityCenter, as the casino has seen little improvement in operating profit since it opened in December. The $8.5 billion development took a loss of $128 million.

    Excluding this writedown, MGM actually lost 35 cents a share, still significantly more than analysts estimates of a 24-cent loss. MGM's revenue rose 3% to $1.54 billion from $1.49 billion, ahead of analysts' estimates of $1.46 billion.

    Revenue-per-available room on the Las Vegas Strip decreased 2%, although Bellagio and MGM Grand showed improvement, the company said. Occupancy levels slipped to 93% from 94% while the average daily rate fell a dollar to $110. "The Las Vegas operating environment remains difficult, but as we expected, we are seeing a gradual recovery," Chief Executive Officer Jim Murren said in a statement.

    Some of MGM's losses in Las Vegas were offset by its joint venture in Macau with Pansy Ho. MGM Macau earned $40 million, compared with a loss of $8 million last year

    Outside of Vegas, MGM said last week that it agreed to sell land from its Borgata hotel in Atlantic City for $73 million to Vornado Realty Trust and Geyser Holdings. The Borgata land, which is co-owned with Boyd Gaming(BYD), is about 11.3 acres, which would translate into about $6.5 million per acre.

    The transaction still needs to be approved by New Jersey regulators, and is expected to close by the fourth quarter. Once this transaction is complete, MGM will still own about 85 acres of developable land in Atlantic City.

    Earlier in the year, MGM said it planned t! o divest its 50% stake in the Atlantic City casino, which is currently in trust. The casino operator is still in talks with potential buyers of Borgata casino, and hotel and investors will be waiting for an update on its progress when second-quarter earnings are released.

    "We view this [deal] as a very modest positive in that there are still buyers of Atlantic City assets out there, at least at the right price," J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff wrote in a note. "We don't necessarily interpret [the] news as any indication that MGM is closer to selling its 50% stake in Borgata."

  • [By Hawkinvest]

    MGM Resorts International (MGM) is one of the world's largest hotel and casino companies, based in Las Vegas. Since December, MGM shares have been trading in a range of about $9, to almost $15 per share. The stock is now at the upper limit of the recent trading range which means that the risk of holding or buying this stock right now, could be elevated. MGM shares have rallied with the markets but appear extended and vulnerable to a sell-off. The company has a heavy debt load and it has been reporting losses. The balance sheet has about $13.45 billion in debt and only about $1.97 billion in cash. MGM could be impacted by higher oil prices because many consumers could cut back on spending if they go to Las Vegas, and some might decide not to go at all, and instead opt for a "staycation." With MGM facing challenges and the shares near recent highs, it could make sen se to sell now and buy on dips later this year.

    Here are some key points for MGM:

    Current share price: $14.18

    The 52 week range is $7.40 to $16.05

    Earnings estimates for 2011: a loss of 53 cents per share

    Earnings estimates for 2012: a loss of 39 cents per share

    Annual dividend: none

Top 5 Safest Stocks For 2014: Wynn Resorts Limited(WYNN)

Wynn Resorts, Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, ownership, and operation of destination casino resorts. The company owns and operates Wynn Las Vegas casino resort in Las Vegas, which includes approximately 22 food and beverage outlets comprising 5 dining restaurants; 2 nightclubs; 1 spa and salon; 1 Ferrari and Maserati automobile dealership; wedding chapels; an 18-hole golf course; meeting space; and foot retail promenade featuring boutiques. Wynn Las Vegas casino resort also features approximately 147 table games, 1 baccarat salon, private VIP gaming rooms, 1 poker room, 1,842 slot machines, and 1 race and sports book. It also owns and operates an Encore at Wynn Las Vegas resort, a destination casino resort located adjacent to Wynn Las Vegas that features a 2,034 all-suite hotel, as well as a casino with 95 table games, 1 sky casino, 1 baccarat salon, private VIP gaming rooms, and 778 slot machines. In addition, the company operates Wyn n Macau casino resort located in the Macau Special Administrative Region of the People?s Republic of China. Wynn Macau casino resort features approximately 595 hotel rooms and suites, 410 table games, 935 slot machines, 1 poker room, 1 sky casino, 6 restaurants, 1 spa and salon, lounges, meeting facilities, and retail space featuring boutiques. Further, it operates Encore at Wynn Macau resort located adjacent to Wynn Macau. Encore at Wynn Macau resort features approximately 410 luxury suites and 4 villas, as well as casino gaming space, including a sky casino consisting of 60 table games and 80 slot machines, 2 restaurants, 1 luxury spa, and retail space. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Carlson]

    Wynn Resorts(WYNN) saw its second-quarter profit more than double, but most of that strength came from casino wins, and investors were unimpressed.

    During the quarter, the casino operator earned $52. 4 million, or 52 cents a share, on revenue of $1.03 billion, higher than forecasts of 42 cents on revenue of $992.3 million. This compares with a profit of $25.5 million, or 21 cents, on revenue of $723.3 million, in the year-ago period.

    Wynn had already pre-announced disappointing results for its Las Vegas properties, citing higher costs, including employee health care and benefits, and marketing expenses. Its operating loss for its Wynn Las Vegas and Encore widened to $17.2 million from $8.3 million last year. Revenue rose 1.7% to $318 million.

    Occupancy at the Wynn Las Vegas jumped to 92.6% from 86.6% a year earlier, but revenue per available room fell 3.2%.

    Still, management indicated that there is a slight improvement on the Strip, with an increase in forward group bookings and some bright spots for the ability to yield rates. But management tempered enthusiasm by saying there are some struggles and uncertainty in the marketplace.

    "We hope for continued improvement in Las Vegas or -- let me put it different, we hope that we'll get smarter in Las Vegas in dealing with the peculiarities of this market --and this very, very mercurial, national economic market we're living with," said Steve Wynn, chief executive, in a conference call. "The national economy and the political environment in the country as we head up to the elections [is] very, very touchy. And it is impacting all businesses."

    The biggest boost, of course, came from Macau, where revenue surged 74% to $714.4 million from $410.4 million last year.

    The company opened its Encore Macau in the spring, boosting its market share to about 16% from about 13%, Sterne Agee analyst David Bain wrote in a note.

    Wynn is in the process of working on a new development on the Cotai st! rip, which should spike investors' interest as more details are revealed in the coming quarters.

    Still, investors are concerned that as comparisons get harder in Macau, and second-quarter results are adjusted for hold (how much the casino won), Wynn may not be able to outperform. But Bain reassures, "this has been discussed as nauseam by investors, sell-side analysts, the press -- and even dinner-table relatives -- for some time. We believe the Street is underestimating the summer months in Macua, which may help to produce a new leg up for Macau stories, with Wynn being the most profitable on a per position basis."

10 Best Casino Stocks To Watch Right Now: Pinnacle Entertainment Inc.(PNK)

Pinnacle Entertainment, Inc. owns, develops, and operates casinos, and related hospitality and entertainment facilities in the United States. It operates casinos, such as L'Auberge du Lac in Lake Charles, Louisiana; River City Casino and Lumiere Place in St. Louis, Missouri; Boomtown New Orleans in New Orleans, Louisiana; Belterra Casino Resort in Vevay, Indiana; Boomtown Bossier City in Bossier City, Louisiana; and Boomtown Reno in Reno, Nevada. The company also operates River Downs racetrack in southeast Cincinnati, Ohio. As of May 26, 2011, it operated seven casinos and one racetrack. The company was formerly known as Hollywood Park, Inc. and changed its name to Pinnacle Entertainment, Inc. in February 2000. Pinnacle Entertainment, Inc. was founded in 1935 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jeanine Poggi]

    Pinnacle Entertainment(PNK) was the great transition story of 2010, with shares spiking about 45% this year.

    The regional casino operator's most impressive story has been in its gross margins, as management, under the leadership of new CEO Anthony Sanfilippo, is in the process of increasing the company's operating efficiencies and prudently allocating capital. Analysts believe Pinnacle is in the early stages of this process, and will continue to drive revenue growth.

    In its third quarter, Pinnacle reported a surprise profit of 10 cents a share on an adjusted basis, better than consensus estimates of a loss of 7 cents. Revenue grew 15% to $287.8 million, while property-level margins reached 23.4%, also ahead of forecasts.

    Last month, Pinnacle purchased Cincinnati's River Downs Racetrack for $45 million. The deal includes 155 acres, 35 of which are still undeveloped. The transaction is expected to close by the end of the first quarter of 2011.

    This deal could generate significant returns in the event that Ohio decides to legalize video lottery terminals at racetracks, Santarelli said.

    Pinnacle is also in the process of looking for a buyer of its oceanfront land in Atlantic City, where it originally intended to build a $1.5 billion casino, before squelching plans. The casino operator bought the land in 2006 for $270 million from groups affiliated with Carl Icahn and later added another piece of land for $70 million.

    While the land's currently value is $38 million, Pinnacle insists it will not sell it on the cheap, holding out for the best deal.

    Pinnacle currently has $228 million in cash and $375 million of availability under its revolver.

  • [By Sherry Jim]

    Pinnacle Entertainment(PNK) swung to a loss in its second quarter, as costs rose.

    During the quarter, the regional casino operator lost $49.3 million, or 81 cents a share, compared with a profit of $4.7 million, or 8 cents, in the year-ago period for Pinnacle.

    Excluding items, Pinnacle actually lost 14 cents a share, 10 cents worse than analysts' estimates of a 4-cent loss.

    Pinnacle's revenue rose 8.5% to $273.6 million from $252.3 million, but also fell short of Wall Street's forecast of $284.4 million.

    Even though revenue was weaker, margins rebounded at all but one of Pinnacle's properties. "Margins are the story for Pinnacle ahead of any longer-term potential true rebound in the economy, and we continue to believe there are multiple opportunities for near-term operational improvements across the Pinnacle portfolio," Bain wrote in a note.

    At a time when most casino operators are striving to reduce costs to offset the decline in consumer spending, Pinnacle saw expenses rise 21% to $289.3 million. But Bain said Pinnacle is still in the early stages of cost-refining. "Given what we view as several areas of potential improvements in this regard, we believe Pinnacle is less dependent on an economic recovery than some of its regional peers," he wrote.

    J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff also reaffirms his overweight rating on the stock, viewing Pinnacle as a transition story. "We continue to believe that new CEO Anthony Sanfilippo and team will drive increased operating efficiencies and allocate capital prudently," he wrote in a note.

    Greff praises Sanfilippo for shelving the Sugarcane Bay project and instead focusing on Baton Rouge.

    Pinnacle's liquidity remains strong, with $200 million in cash and $375 million of availability under its revolver

10 Best Casino Stocks To Watch Right Now: Penn National Gaming Inc.(PENN)

Penn National Gaming, Inc. and its subsidiaries own and manage gaming and pari-mutuel properties in the United States. It operates approximately 27,000 gaming machines; 500 table games; and 2,000 hotel rooms in 23 facilities in 16 jurisdictions, including Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Ontario. The company was formerly known as PNRC Corp. and changed its name to Penn National Gaming, Inc. in 1994. Penn National Gaming, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is based in Wyomissing, Pennsylvania.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Quickel]

    Penn National Gaming(PENN) squeaked past its guidance through improved cost controls, and investors praised its efforts.

    But expectations were low, and its upbeat outlook shouldn't be viewed as a message that regional markets are recovering. "Going forward, we project soft regional gaming revenue results over the next three to six months, as we do not expect to see a significant increase in consumer spending patterns given the uncertain economic environment," J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff wrote in a note.

    Penn National raised its full-year earnings guidance to $1.18 from $1.13 a share, and up its revenue outlook by $26 million to $2.44 billion from $2.41 billion.

    During the second quarter, the company earned $9.2 million, or 9 cents a share, compared with $28.5 million, or 27 cents, in the year-ago period. Excluding items, Penn actually earned 29 cents a share, a penny higher than estimates.

    Revenue rose 3% to $598.3 million, higher than the $597.1 million Wall Street projected. The upside was driven by both better revenues and margins and was generally broad-based across many properties, especially larger venues in Charlestown, Lawrenceburg and Grantville, Pa.

    Penn National rolled out table games in West Virginia and Pennsylvania during the quarter, which should be a growth catalyst moving forward. The company also plans to open a slot facility in Maryland on Sept. 30 and expects its Toldeo, Ohio, location to open in the first-half of 2012. Its Columbus project is slated to open in the second-half of 2012.

    The company repurchased 409,000 shares during the quarter. "[This] sends a message to investors on the value of its equity, but perhaps indicating the lack of near-term acquisition opportunities," J.P. Morgan analyst Joseph Greff wrote in a note.

10 Best Casino Stocks To Watch Right Now: (XTRN)

Las Vegas Railway Express Inc. focuses to re-establish a conventional passenger train service between the Las Vegas and Los Angeles metropolitan areas. It plans to establish a ?Vegas-style? passenger train service. The company is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Sunday, August 4, 2013

Big Oil's Fall Holds Back a Flat Dow's Friday

It's been a great ride to new record highs for the markets, but stocks had to catch a breather eventually. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) has done just that today -- it's danced in negative to flat territory, and as of 2:15 p.m. EDT, the index is down just 5 points. Stocks are fairly evenly split between risers and laggards, with a pair of losers in the energy sector weighing down the index. As we finish up a slow Friday for investors everywhere, let's catch up on the movers you need to know.

Energy giants in the red
Exxon-Mobil's (NYSE: XOM  )  firmly in the red today, down 1.2% to rank among the Dow's biggest laggards. This comes despite Exxon's announced plans today to open a $10 billion liquefied natural gas plant on the Gulf Coast in Texas. The agreement could see the facility produce more than 15 million metric tons of LNG annually as Exxon and other natural gas producers look to evade low domestic prices by capitalizing on exports.

Big oil rival Chevron (NYSE: CVX  ) isn't having much of a day to remember, either, as shares have fallen 0.9% so far. The company did post good news today, however: Chevron won a lawsuit against the U.S. over a dispute surrounding its oil fields near Bakersfield, California. The companies have battled for years over the split between Chevron's and the Department of Energy's stakes in the fields. While Chevron's still disputing the DoE's share, the U.S. will have to reimburse the company for 42% of its legal fees for a two-year period.

Outside of the energy sector, Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT  ) shares are performing even worse today. The industrial giant's stock has fallen 1.9% today to lead all Dow laggards lower. The company cut off talks with the United Steelworkers union in Milwaukee today as a labor dispute continues to rage at its mining equipment plant. The mining industry's downturn, sparked by China's slowdown and other leading economies slumping, has forced Caterpillar to lay off hundreds of mining equipment workers already. Caterpillar's Milwaukee plant remains open as this labor dispute continues, but until the global economy picks up, the company's mining business will continue to struggle.

On a bright note for the Dow, shares of Merck (NYSE: MRK  ) have traded higher today, advancing 0.9% so far. The company has offered up its HPV vaccine Gardasil at a 95% discount to impoverished nations, part of a deal with the GAVI Alliance partnership to boost immunization rates in developing populations. Merck's done well with Gardasil commercially as well, however; the vaccine has been one of the company's best-sellers even as the firm struggles with patent expirations of other blockbuster drugs. Last year, Gardasil posted more than $1.6 billion in sales, a year-over-year gain of more than 34%.

Can Merck beat the patent cliff?
This titan of the pharmaceutical industry stumbled into 2013 and continues to battle patent expirations and pipeline problems. Is Merck still a solid dividend play, or should investors be looking elsewhere? In a new premium research report on Merck, The Motley Fool tackles all of the company's moving parts, its major market opportunities, and reasons to both buy and sell. To find out more click here to claim your copy today.